Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.046193 0.050274 0.054410 0.058909 0.063657 0.068512 0.073845
2025-06-22 0.039772 0.045749 0.052029 0.059092 0.066787 0.074891 0.084045
2025-06-29 0.034667 0.041935 0.049820 0.058949 0.069167 0.080193 0.092930
2025-07-06 0.031771 0.040157 0.049511 0.060608 0.073305 0.087274 0.103701
2025-07-13 0.028140 0.037160 0.047499 0.060056 0.074724 0.091155 0.110790
2025-07-20 0.025482 0.035040 0.046270 0.060197 0.076763 0.095612 0.118445
2025-07-27 0.023616 0.033693 0.045801 0.061094 0.079575 0.100882 0.126994
2025-08-03 0.022283 0.032878 0.045867 0.062546 0.082980 0.106810 0.136304
2025-08-10 0.019483 0.029981 0.043175 0.060455 0.081979 0.107420 0.139274
2025-08-17 0.017686 0.028257 0.041840 0.059937 0.082797 0.110128 0.144677
2025-08-24 0.016059 0.026641 0.040537 0.059363 0.083467 0.112597 0.149756
2025-08-31 0.015491 0.026440 0.041054 0.061099 0.087016 0.118583 0.159111
2025-09-07 0.014678 0.025868 0.041075 0.062218 0.089847 0.123784 0.167657
2025-09-14 0.013770 0.025096 0.040780 0.062893 0.092103 0.128286 0.175388
2025-09-21 0.012739 0.024069 0.040078 0.062978 0.093569 0.131791 0.181900
2025-09-28 0.012357 0.023996 0.040690 0.064828 0.097339 0.138217 0.192081
2025-10-05 0.011280 0.022771 0.039603 0.064305 0.097951 0.140620 0.197233
2025-10-12 0.010496 0.021950 0.039050 0.064479 0.099458 0.144150 0.203801
2025-10-19 0.009990 0.021542 0.039071 0.065432 0.101995 0.149001 0.212050
2025-10-26 0.009671 0.021421 0.039504 0.066960 0.105310 0.154874 0.221629
2025-11-02 0.008441 0.019660 0.037385 0.064772 0.103515 0.154060 0.222642
2025-11-09 0.007706 0.018701 0.036439 0.064230 0.103936 0.156115 0.227317
2025-11-16 0.007017 0.017765 0.035483 0.063628 0.104241 0.157996 0.231758